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"It
looks as though East Timor will sacrifice the median line boundary, or
maybe this is Downer's spin - who really knows except the participants
- but we need to keep the pressure on for a just solution ... We need
the max effort NOW as detail may be sewn up to East Timor's detriment -
it is unacceptable for East Timor to be dudded of its long term
economic future due to a desire to improve relations with Australia.
... just when success appears to be happening is the most dangerous
time, and when activists good will and involvement is most needed." Rob
Wesley-Smith, Spokesperson, Australians For a Free East Timor &
Co-convenor, Timor Sea Justice Coalition - Darwin
Topic: Keep pressure on for a just solution to Timor Oil dispute
Author:
Rob
Wesley-Smith,
Spokesperson, AFFET, Darwin
Co-convenor, TSJC, Darwin
Phone: (08) 8983 2113
Mobile (today only 12 Aug 2004):
0419 807 175
Email: rwesley@ozemail.com.au
Australians For a Free East
Timor (AFFET) Darwin
Timor Sea Justice Coalition (TSJC) Darwin
Home: http://www.TimorSeaJustice.org
12 August 2004:
It looks as though East Timor will sacrifice the median line boundary
[as a result of the discussions between Jose Ramos Horta and Alexander
Downer], or maybe this is Downer's spin - who really knows except the
participants - but we need to keep the pressure on for a just
solution.
The Australian obviously still thinks the Continental Shelf ends at the
Timor Trench.
We need the max effort NOW as detail may be sewn up to East Timor's
detriment - it is unacceptable for East Timor to be dudded of its long
term economic future due to a desire to improve relations with
Australia.
Some thoughts I had recently:
I've yet to meet an East Timorese who does not regard the issues of
Maritime Boundaries as sacrosanct, as an issue of national
sovereignty. I wholly sympathise with that, though I believe the
signing of the Timor Sea Treaty has jeopardised exactly where ITLOS
(International Tribunal on the Law of the Sea) would draw particularly
the laterals, I imagine especially the western lateral. In
other words, to get a negotiated settlement is BEST, if it can achieve
getting Maritime Boundaries to include LaminariaCorallina to the west,
and Greater Sunrise to the east, and thus all or most of the Government
take (Royalties in old terms).
I want to emphasize that I think that if negotiated Royalties are to
happen then the precedent is the JPDA (Joint Petroleum Development
Area) agreement where East Timor got 90%, and I think East Timor should
NOT countenance less than 90%. It is far better to let Sunrise lapse
for the moment, I think this anyway, it is the Northern Territory (NT) Govt and the Oil Companies
that need Sunrise now, not East Timor. Woodside recently said
that if they dropped off the queue they would have to go back to the
back of the queue again, a delay of a few years.
This is no bad thing, in fact an excellent thing, allows for East Timor
technical and political expertise to get experience and to grow.
Oil and gas prices will continue to grow, to East Timor's advantage, etc
To 'give away' 10% is also not a good thing, but that 10% should be
used to get Australia to provide the immediate security in the Timor
Sea, and to train East Timorese in that matter and provide decent
patrol boats etc to take over in 10-15 years. This is attractive
to Australia for antiterrorism stuff also fisheries protection.
The current crop of patrol boats is to be replaced by newer bigger ones
as built over next few years so there should be some spares soon.
OK, one might accept 80:20 in favour of East Timor, given the reverse
now, and some suggestion East Timor might only get 80% by ITLOS (International Tribunal on the
Law of the Sea) - I've not heard any suggestion
East Timor would get less than 80% of Greater Sunrise via ITLOS/UNCLOS
(United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea).
If East Timor wants its sovereignty, the median line and decent
laterals must be fought for. Surely Australians support
international law, cases decided since 1982 being 80: nil in
favour of this as far as I know.
In my experience eg with Wattie Creek Gurindgis mid-70s, just when
success appears to be happening is the most dangerous time, and when
activists good will and involvement is most needed.
Rob Wesley-Smith
Spokesperson, Australians For a Free
East Timor - Darwin (Northern Territory, Australia)
Co-convenor, Timor Sea Justice
Coalition - Darwin (Northern Territory, Australia)
today only on 0419 807175
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