Sunday 20 July 2014
"Causality and Alternative Hypotheses"
We looked at causal theories
and how people miss out on considering alternate hypotheses.
This relates to how we make errors, abstracting and the GS uncertainty principle.
Our aim was to improve our mapping of causal processes.
Led by Mr David Hewson
Warm-up with Rush Hour game, to show how prerequisites need to be solved first, for some problems.
Then we covered the following formulations:
* Bypassing
* Causality and Alternative Hypothesis
* Knowledge types, and what we are trying to change.
* Knowledge of things / perceptions,
* Knowledge about things,
* Third order knowledge and Fourth order knowledge.
* Epistomological knowledge and projection,
* Fact-Inference exercise,
* Relating Fact-Inference to causal models,
* Alternative Hypothesises exercises,
* Confirmation Bias in causal models,
* Applications of causal formulations.
* How to get more money in Lotto,
* How to have younger-looking skin,
* Weight-loss method alternatives - Does the "solution" become "the problem"?
Next Meeting:
Sunday 17 August 2014
"Decision Making"
What does GS particularly have to offer?
Again to be led by Mr David Hewson
This is a "living document", subject to ongoing evolution as recollections re-emerge from our memories of the event, and are re-evaluated in light of ongoing experience and reflection. It will never be "the full truth and nothing but the truth", or "a map that expresses everyone's notion of the territory"!
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Disclaimer: This "summary" is a collection of notes derived from our discussion by a number of means. It is by no means a scholarly dissertation on the subject as presented. It does not purport to be the "policy of AGS". Comment and criticism (constructive or otherwise) is welcome. If anyone has been misquoted, copyrights infringed or confidences betrayed, please Contact us.
